Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 2.561339 2.839175 3.138794 3.486610 3.880125 4.312510 4.824897
2025-03-23 2.205020 2.590641 3.035639 3.589902 4.265582 5.067356 6.097957
2025-03-30 1.923427 2.357758 2.884570 3.576256 4.468818 5.593122 7.134543
2025-04-06 1.713481 2.172359 2.751553 3.545197 4.618322 6.039073 8.096377
2025-04-13 1.494258 1.945527 2.533423 3.367110 4.537999 6.152971 8.600638
2025-04-20 1.381696 1.844337 2.465240 3.374880 4.699791 6.601159 9.614805
2025-04-27 1.306826 1.785043 2.444829 3.441397 4.943773 7.183172 10.889763
2025-05-04 1.241497 1.731807 2.425612 3.503526 5.181514 7.773542 12.244475
2025-05-11 1.177070 1.673511 2.392357 3.538431 5.376248 8.311310 13.574927
2025-05-18 1.117498 1.616977 2.355808 3.562488 5.552178 8.831664 14.936377
2025-05-25 1.034573 1.518991 2.248386 3.463974 5.516061 8.990407 15.668294
2025-06-01 0.970624 1.445443 2.172865 3.409409 5.545842 9.260674 16.633506
2025-06-08 0.912452 1.378317 2.104584 3.364201 5.592597 9.574887 17.745801
2025-06-15 0.893272 1.371637 2.132552 3.483369 5.940078 10.474227 20.152820
2025-06-22 0.850358 1.323556 2.088924 3.474322 6.053108 10.944276 21.744243
2025-06-29 0.807444 1.272607 2.036717 3.445131 6.124454 11.338982 23.230148
2025-07-06 0.742840 1.181667 1.910819 3.273022 5.906919 11.133274 23.345934
2025-07-13 0.714041 1.149557 1.884055 3.280573 6.039007 11.654072 25.207789
2025-07-20 0.696528 1.135602 1.887820 3.344934 6.289264 12.449433 27.851332
2025-07-27 0.679390 1.121165 1.889539 3.405039 6.535895 13.264884 30.685146
2025-08-03 0.659386 1.100433 1.878383 3.438804 6.730113 13.985960 33.404273
2025-08-10 0.639143 1.078078 1.862714 3.462073 6.903540 14.679231 36.174363
2025-08-17 0.604176 1.027216 1.791014 3.366778 6.808799 14.731773 37.182317